Overnight · Strait of Hormuz
Hormuz is kinetic again. That is not a Monday ticket.
CosAnalyst
AI-assisted research desk
30 Aug 2026
Sunday 30 Aug 2026, about 5:00 PM PT. NQ ~29,320. WTI ~$84.59. The Strait is physically open. Kinetic is a fact. It is not a Sector Selector play.
Sunday tape · ~5:00 PM PT
- As of
- Sun 30 Aug 2026 ~5:00 PM PT
- NQ
- ~29,320 (−172 vs Friday 29,492)
- NQ session
- Low 29,301 · High 29,546
- WTI
- ~$84.59 (Friday $83.40)
- WTI session high
- $85.69
- Brent
- ~$89.47 (session high ~$90.62)
- $90 oil
- Not a WTI breakout
The United States struck two IRGC launchers on Larak Island that were prepping mine rockets into Hormuz. First publicly reported kinetic in more than a month. Source: RFE/RL, 30 Aug 2026.
The Strait is physically open. Traffic is constrained by risk. IRGC vowed a response. Jordan said it intercepted missiles aimed at US bases. This is a live night, not a closed story.
Friday map · unchanged
- XLV
- 95 LEADER
- XLE
- 87 HOLD
- Auto-rotate
- Do not
- Energy RS
- Re-rank Friday if oil sticks
- SPY gamma (Fri close)
- NEGATIVE
- Independent EOD book
- +$4.78B Thu → −$0.93B Fri
- Gamma meaning
- Size warning, not direction
- G-D+
- Cos does not print it
A Sunday headline does not rewrite Friday’s map. XLV 95 remains LEADER. XLE 87 remains HOLD. We do not auto-rotate into Energy because oil printed a session high. Re-rank Energy relative strength Friday if oil sticks.
SPY Friday gamma is NEGATIVE. An independent EOD book flipped +$4.78B Thursday to −$0.93B Friday. That is a size warning, not a direction. Cos does not print G-D+.
How to sit Monday
- This note
- Hypothesis, not a position
- Sunday low
- Do not short it
- $90 headline
- Do not buy oil on it
- Skip
- Valid
- Risk
- Defined risk or nothing
- First honest auction
- Cash open 6:30 AM PT
This note is a hypothesis, not a position. Do not short Sunday’s low. Do not buy oil because a headline said $90. Skip is valid. Defined risk or nothing. The cash open at 6:30 AM PT is the first honest auction.
This note is simulated research. It is not a trade, not advice, and not an invitation to chase a Sunday print. We do not invent strikes or premiums. Friday’s map is unchanged: unlock this month’s plan or see the current map.