SECTOR SELECTOR A CosAnalyst Research Project
Setups are tracked on paper using published rules. No real-money performance is claimed.

11 SPDR SECTORS · VS SPY · UPDATED FRIDAY CLOSE

KNOW WHERE THE MONEY IS MOVING

#1

ENERGY

XLE 100/100

+16.0 pp 13-week RS vs SPY

Most traders start by choosing a stock. Sector Selector starts one layer higher — by finding where relative strength is already concentrating.

  • MONTHLY PLAN The current research card: sector, structure, entry, exit, invalidation.
  • FRIDAY MAP Who leads and who is skipping, every Friday close.
  • FOUNDING ACCESS Founding 1,000 keep the weekly list free.

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#1 ranked sector

Energy

XLE

Sector score
100 / 100
Relative strength
+16.0 pp 13w vs SPY
Location
+7.8% vs 50d · +19.2% vs 200d

This week’s swing packet

XLE · Aggressive long call + moderate debit call spread

Prior XLE papers
Closed at Oct 16 expiry (66C +$30, 66/68 +$125) · simulated
Open card
XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · still OPEN after the Fri 23 Oct lock · time stop Fri 30 Oct · simulated

XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · still OPEN after the Fri 23 Oct lock · time stop Fri 30 Oct · simulated. No naked shorts.

Prior XLE Oct 16 66C closed at expiry: exit 2.24 vs paper fill 1.94, +$30 (+15.5%) · SIMULATED. Prior XLE Oct 16 66/68 closed at expiry: exit 2.00 vs paper fill 0.75, +$125 (+166.7%) · SIMULATED. SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.

Read the research card → · New or experienced →

The framework

MARKET → STRUCTURE → SECTOR → STOCK → TRADE

Most products start at the stock. Sector Selector specializes in the sector layer — where relative strength is already concentrating — before a name or a strike is chosen.

  1. 01 Market Regime first
  2. 02 Structure Positioning, not control
  3. 03 Sector Sector Selector
  4. 04 Stock After the sector
  5. 05 Trade Premium-defined or spreads

Sector map

As of Friday 23 Oct 2026 close · price-only

Energy holds the crown at 100, widening its lead to +16.0 pp vs SPY over 13 weeks. Health Care stays #2 LEADER at 75 (down 3). Technology edges up to #3 at 55 but stays SKIP, still 3.4% under its 50-day; Staples sit #4 HOLD at 55 above both averages. Discretionary jumps 13 points to 47, a hair under its 50-day. Industrials drop 14 to 6 and are the new weakest. Board health 5/11 above the 50-day. Prior Friday maps stay on /rankings/.

This week’s map as of Friday 23 Oct 2026 cash close. Energy XLE 100 LEADER, Health Care XLV 75 LEADER, Technology XLK 55 SKIP.
Rank Sector ETF Score 13W RS Location State Δ vs 16 Oct
01 Energy XLE 100 +16.0 pp +7.8% vs 50d LEADER 0
02 Health Care XLV 75 +6.9 pp +4.8% vs 50d LEADER −3
03 Technology XLK 55 +2.3 pp −3.4% vs 50d SKIP +2
04 Consumer Staples XLP 55 +0.6 pp +4.6% vs 50d HOLD +1
05 Consumer Discretionary XLY 47 −0.8 pp −0.3% vs 50d WEAKENING +13
06 Materials XLB 41 −3.0 pp +0.6% vs 50d WATCH −5
07 Financials XLF 35 −4.5 pp −0.3% vs 50d WEAKENING −2
08 Communication Services XLC 31 −4.8 pp −5.5% vs 50d WEAKENING −8
09 Utilities XLU 20 −9.7 pp +1.7% vs 50d WATCH −2
10 Real Estate XLRE 18 −9.8 pp −0.7% vs 50d WEAKENING 0
11 Industrials XLI 6 −13.0 pp −4.4% vs 50d WEAKENING −14

Δ vs 16 Oct is the change in the published score, not rank. CHANGE compares to the published 16 Oct board. Every prior Friday stays on /rankings/.

The Sector Selector Score

Rules-based · Friday close

The Sector Selector Score is a rules-based 0–100 measure of sector leadership. It compares each major U.S. sector with the broad market and evaluates relative strength, trend health, and price location. Higher scores indicate stronger confirmed leadership; lower scores indicate lagging or weakening conditions. The model is recalculated after Friday’s close, while weekday updates explain changes without rewriting the weekly map.

How to read the board → /how-to-read/ · Every Friday map → /rankings/

Why sectors first?

Market → Sector → Stock

A stock sits inside a sector. If the sector is not leading, the name is swimming upstream. Rank the 11 SPDRs first. Then look inside the leader. Then structure the trade.

Weekly swing packet

OPEN — Fri 23 Oct lock. Energy/XLE stays #1 LEADER (100), so the Mon 19 Oct Nov 20 paper card stays OPEN: no kill rule hit (XLE closed 69.33, above its 50-day ~64.3, still #1). Hard time stop at the Fri 30 Oct close (~21 DTE). No new card this week. Marks come from the live TradingView chain Monday; no weekend premiums. · Rankings: Friday 23 Oct 2026 close

Thesis

Energy holds the crown at 100, widening its lead to +16.0 pp vs SPY over 13 weeks. Health Care stays #2 LEADER at 75 (down 3). Technology edges up to #3 at 55 but stays SKIP, still 3.4% under its 50-day; Staples sit #4 HOLD at 55 above both averages. Discretionary jumps 13 points to 47, a hair under its 50-day. Industrials drop 14 to 6 and are the new weakest. Board health 5/11 above the 50-day. XLE 100/100. +16.0 pp 13-week RS vs SPY. Location +7.8% vs 50d and +19.2% vs 200d.

Aggressive

Long naked CALL

Expiration
Nov 20, 2026
Strike
68

XLE Nov 20, 2026 68 call, long naked call. Max risk $248. Filled 2026-10-19 06:44:01 PT.

$2.48 paper fill

BUY TO OPEN 1 XLE NOV 20 68 CALL — DEBIT $2.48 PAPER

Thesis: Energy is #1 at 100 for a fifth straight Friday lock: +14.9 pp 13w RS vs SPY, +7.4% above 50d, +18.4% above 200d, in a defensive-rotation tape.

Kill: Out on an XLE daily close under its 50-day (~63.5 from Fri board) or if XLE loses #1/LEADER on a Friday lock; hard time stop at ~21 DTE (Fri 30 Oct close) - enforce it this time.

Prior XLE Oct 16 66C closed at expiry: exit 2.24 vs paper fill 1.94, +$30 (+15.5%) · SIMULATED

SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.

Moderate

Debit call spread

Expiration
Nov 20, 2026
Long / Short
68 / 70

XLE Nov 20, 2026 68/70 debit call spread. Legs 68C 2.50 / 70C 1.50. Max risk $100. Max value $200. Max profit $100. Filled 2026-10-19 06:44:43 PT.

$1.00 paper fill

BUY TO OPEN 1 XLE NOV 20 68 CALL / SELL TO OPEN 1 XLE NOV 20 70 CALL — NET DEBIT $1.00 PAPER

Thesis: Energy is #1 at 100 for a fifth straight Friday lock: +14.9 pp 13w RS vs SPY, +7.4% above 50d, +18.4% above 200d, in a defensive-rotation tape.

Kill: Out on an XLE daily close under its 50-day (~63.5 from Fri board) or if XLE loses #1/LEADER on a Friday lock; hard time stop at ~21 DTE (Fri 30 Oct close) - enforce it this time.

Prior XLE Oct 16 66/68 closed at expiry: exit 2.00 vs paper fill 0.75, +$125 (+166.7%) · SIMULATED

SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.

Exit / invalidation

Exits are dated on the card. We do not move them after the ticket is live. Leadership is the Friday map.

New vs experienced

Same card. Different next step.

New to options?

Follow first. Paper only.

Do not risk real money on this card. Add the sector to a watchlist, paper the structure, and learn the framework before a live debit.

LEARN THE FRAMEWORK →

Experienced options trader

XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · still OPEN after the Fri 23 Oct lock · time stop Fri 30 Oct · simulated. Prior XLE papers closed at Oct 16 expiry (66C +$30, 66/68 +$125) · simulated. Long naked means long call or long put only — premium is the max risk. No naked shorts.

Simulated trade history

Institutional traders often call this a trade blotter. Full track record →

ETF symbols are public. Current blotter shows open or closed paper tickets only. No win rate until twenty closed tickets. Full track record →

Date ETF Structure Expiration Long Short Entry Debit Status Exit P&L
2026-10-19 XLE Long naked CALL, 30–60 DTE Nov 20, 2026 68 — $2.48 paper fill OPEN — SIMULATED —
2026-10-19 XLE Debit call spread, 30–60 DTE Nov 20, 2026 68 70 $1.00 paper fill OPEN — SIMULATED —
2026-09-14 XLE Long naked CALL, 30–60 DTE Oct 16, 2026 66 — $1.94 paper fill CLOSED 2.24 SIMULATED win
2026-09-14 XLE Debit call spread, 30–60 DTE Oct 16, 2026 66 68 $0.75 paper fill CLOSED 2 SIMULATED win
2026-08-30 XLV Debit call spread, 30–60 DTE Oct 16, 2026 170 175 $3.83 paper fill CLOSED 5 SIMULATED win

Fri 23 Oct lock: Energy #1 (100), XLV #2 LEADER (75). Energy card (XLE Nov 20 68C 2.48; 68/70 1.00 debit) stays OPEN; time stop Fri 30 Oct. 3 closed (3W/0L), 2 open. No win rate until 20 closed. SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.

The rules do not move after the trade

If we change one, we date it. We do not backfill.

01

Rank

Leadership is the Friday map. We rank the 11 SPDR sectors after Friday’s close.

02

Location

Location can still skip a high score. A strong rank that fails location is not a ticket.

03

Structure

Defined-risk: long options (the debit is the max risk) and debit/credit spreads. Skip is first-class. No naked shorts. No 0DTE thesis.

04

Exit

Exits are dated on the card. We do not rewrite them after the ticket is live.

What would kill this. If eight weeks of paper cannot beat a coin flip after costs, the process is wrong, and we will say so. No P&L is claimed because none has been taken.

What this is

  • A weekly 11-sector map and a short paper blotter.
  • A free monthly defined-risk list. Email is the product door.
  • Simulated. Dated. Skip is a first-class state.

What this is not

  • A guru room, a webinar funnel, or a get-rich system.
  • A claim that 0DTE controls the market.
  • A signal service that changes the rules after a losing week.

SECTOR SELECTOR / A COSANALYST RESEARCH PROJECT

KNOW WHERE THE MONEY IS MOVING

#1 Energy / XLE 100/100. Founding 1,000 keep the weekly list free.

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VIEW THE SECTOR MAP → RANKINGS ARCHIVE → READ THE RESEARCH → VIEW TRACK RECORD → LEARN THE FRAMEWORK →