#1 ranked sector
Energy
XLE
- Sector score
- 100 / 100
- Relative strength
- +14.9 pp 13w vs SPY
- Location
- +7.4% vs 50d · +18.4% vs 200d
11 SPDR SECTORS · VS SPY · UPDATED FRIDAY CLOSE
KNOW WHERE THE MONEY IS MOVING
#1
ENERGY
XLE 100/100
+14.9 pp 13-week RS vs SPY
Most traders start by choosing a stock. Sector Selector starts one layer higher — by finding where relative strength is already concentrating.
- MONTHLY PLAN The current research card: sector, structure, entry, exit, invalidation.
- FRIDAY MAP Who leads and who is skipping, every Friday close.
- FOUNDING ACCESS Founding 1,000 keep the weekly list free.
Your Sector Selector is unlocked
Your full sector report has been emailed.
This week’s swing packet
XLE · Aggressive long call + moderate debit call spread
- Prior XLE papers
- Closed at Oct 16 expiry (66C +$30, 66/68 +$125) · simulated
- New card
- XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · simulated
XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · simulated. No naked shorts.
Prior XLE Oct 16 66C closed at expiry: exit 2.24 vs paper fill 1.94, +$30 (+15.5%) · SIMULATED. Prior XLE Oct 16 66/68 closed at expiry: exit 2.00 vs paper fill 0.75, +$125 (+166.7%) · SIMULATED. SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.
The framework
MARKET → STRUCTURE → SECTOR → STOCK → TRADE
Most products start at the stock. Sector Selector specializes in the sector layer — where relative strength is already concentrating — before a name or a strike is chosen.
- 01 Market Regime first
- 02 Structure Positioning, not control
- 03 Sector Sector Selector
- 04 Stock After the sector
- 05 Trade Premium-defined or spreads
Sector map
As of Friday 16 Oct 2026 close · price-only
Energy holds the crown at 100. Health Care jumps 22 points to #2 LEADER at 78, clearing both moving averages. Staples rise to #3 HOLD at 54. Technology slips under its 50-day to #4 SKIP at 53 (down 12). Weakest: Real Estate. Board health 4/11 above the 50-day. Prior Friday maps stay on /rankings/.
| Rank | Sector | ETF | Score | 13W RS | Location | State | Δ vs 9 Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Energy | XLE | 100 | +14.9 pp | +7.4% vs 50d | LEADER | 0 |
| 02 | Health Care | XLV | 78 | +8.1 pp | +3.9% vs 50d | LEADER | +22 |
| 03 | Consumer Staples | XLP | 54 | +0.4 pp | +4.2% vs 50d | HOLD | +15 |
| 04 | Technology | XLK | 53 | +1.6 pp | −3.4% vs 50d | SKIP | −12 |
| 05 | Materials | XLB | 46 | −1.1 pp | −0.5% vs 50d | WEAKENING | +15 |
| 06 | Communication Services | XLC | 39 | −3.3 pp | −1.4% vs 50d | WEAKENING | +2 |
| 07 | Financials | XLF | 37 | −3.8 pp | −1.3% vs 50d | WEAKENING | +5 |
| 08 | Consumer Discretionary | XLY | 34 | −4.7 pp | −1.2% vs 50d | WEAKENING | +7 |
| 09 | Utilities | XLU | 22 | −8.9 pp | +0.5% vs 50d | WATCH | +11 |
| 10 | Industrials | XLI | 20 | −8.7 pp | −3.7% vs 50d | WEAKENING | +5 |
| 11 | Real Estate | XLRE | 18 | −9.6 pp | −2.2% vs 50d | WEAKENING | +1 |
Δ vs 9 Oct is the change in the published score, not rank. CHANGE compares to the published 9 Oct board. Every prior Friday stays on /rankings/.
The Sector Selector Score
Rules-based · Friday close
The Sector Selector Score is a rules-based 0–100 measure of sector leadership. It compares each major U.S. sector with the broad market and evaluates relative strength, trend health, and price location. Higher scores indicate stronger confirmed leadership; lower scores indicate lagging or weakening conditions. The model is recalculated after Friday’s close, while weekday updates explain changes without rewriting the weekly map.
How to read the board → /how-to-read/ · Every Friday map → /rankings/
Why sectors first?
Market → Sector → Stock
A stock sits inside a sector. If the sector is not leading, the name is swimming upstream. Rank the 11 SPDRs first. Then look inside the leader. Then structure the trade.
Weekly swing packet
LOCKED Mon 19 Oct 06:44 PT — Energy/XLE #1 LEADER (100). New Nov 20 (32 DTE) paper card filled on the live TradingView OPRA chain, XLE spot 68.34. Prior XLE and XLV Oct 16 papers closed at expiry (see blotter). · Rankings: Friday 16 Oct 2026 close
Thesis
Energy holds the crown at 100. Health Care jumps 22 points to #2 LEADER at 78, clearing both moving averages. Staples rise to #3 HOLD at 54. Technology slips under its 50-day to #4 SKIP at 53 (down 12). Weakest: Real Estate. Board health 4/11 above the 50-day. XLE 100/100. +14.9 pp 13-week RS vs SPY. Location +7.4% vs 50d and +18.4% vs 200d.
Aggressive
Long naked CALL
- Expiration
- Nov 20, 2026
- Strike
- 68
XLE Nov 20, 2026 68 call, long naked call. Max risk $248. Filled 2026-10-19 06:44:01 PT.
$2.48 paper fill
BUY TO OPEN 1 XLE NOV 20 68 CALL — DEBIT $2.48 PAPER
Thesis: Energy is #1 at 100 for a fifth straight Friday lock: +14.9 pp 13w RS vs SPY, +7.4% above 50d, +18.4% above 200d, in a defensive-rotation tape.
Kill: Out on an XLE daily close under its 50-day (~63.5 from Fri board) or if XLE loses #1/LEADER on a Friday lock; hard time stop at ~21 DTE (Fri 30 Oct close) - enforce it this time.
Prior XLE Oct 16 66C closed at expiry: exit 2.24 vs paper fill 1.94, +$30 (+15.5%) · SIMULATED
SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.
Moderate
Debit call spread
- Expiration
- Nov 20, 2026
- Long / Short
- 68 / 70
XLE Nov 20, 2026 68/70 debit call spread. Legs 68C 2.50 / 70C 1.50. Max risk $100. Max value $200. Max profit $100. Filled 2026-10-19 06:44:43 PT.
$1.00 paper fill
BUY TO OPEN 1 XLE NOV 20 68 CALL / SELL TO OPEN 1 XLE NOV 20 70 CALL — NET DEBIT $1.00 PAPER
Thesis: Energy is #1 at 100 for a fifth straight Friday lock: +14.9 pp 13w RS vs SPY, +7.4% above 50d, +18.4% above 200d, in a defensive-rotation tape.
Kill: Out on an XLE daily close under its 50-day (~63.5 from Fri board) or if XLE loses #1/LEADER on a Friday lock; hard time stop at ~21 DTE (Fri 30 Oct close) - enforce it this time.
Prior XLE Oct 16 66/68 closed at expiry: exit 2.00 vs paper fill 0.75, +$125 (+166.7%) · SIMULATED
SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.
Exit / invalidation
Exits are dated on the card. We do not move them after the ticket is live. Leadership is the Friday map.
New vs experienced
Same card. Different next step.
New to options?
Follow first. Paper only.
Do not risk real money on this card. Add the sector to a watchlist, paper the structure, and learn the framework before a live debit.
LEARN THE FRAMEWORK →Experienced options trader
XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · simulated. Prior XLE papers closed at Oct 16 expiry (66C +$30, 66/68 +$125) · simulated. Long naked means long call or long put only — premium is the max risk. No naked shorts.
- Sector
- Energy
- Ticker
- XLE
- Direction
- Bullish
- Prior XLE papers
- Closed at Oct 16 expiry (66C +$30, 66/68 +$125) · simulated
- New card
- XLE Nov 20 68C at $2.48 · 68/70 call spread at $1.00 debit · paper-filled Mon 19 Oct open · simulated
- Sector score
- 100 / 100
- Relative strength
- +14.9 pp 13w vs SPY
- Location
- +7.4% vs 50d · +18.4% vs 200d
SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.
Simulated trade history
Institutional traders often call this a trade blotter. Full track record →
ETF symbols are public. Current blotter shows open or closed paper tickets only. No win rate until twenty closed tickets. Full track record →
| Date | ETF | Structure | Expiration | Long | Short | Entry Debit | Status | Exit | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | XLE | Long naked CALL, 30–60 DTE | Nov 20, 2026 | 68 | — | $2.48 paper fill | OPEN | — | SIMULATED — |
| 2026-10-19 | XLE | Debit call spread, 30–60 DTE | Nov 20, 2026 | 68 | 70 | $1.00 paper fill | OPEN | — | SIMULATED — |
| 2026-09-14 | XLE | Long naked CALL, 30–60 DTE | Oct 16, 2026 | 66 | — | $1.94 paper fill | CLOSED | 2.24 | SIMULATED win |
| 2026-09-14 | XLE | Debit call spread, 30–60 DTE | Oct 16, 2026 | 66 | 68 | $0.75 paper fill | CLOSED | 2 | SIMULATED win |
| 2026-08-30 | XLV | Debit call spread, 30–60 DTE | Oct 16, 2026 | 170 | 175 | $3.83 paper fill | CLOSED | 5 | SIMULATED win |
Mon 19 Oct open: Energy card OPEN (Nov 20 68C 2.48; 68/70 1.00). 3 closed (3W/0L), 2 open. No win rate until 20 closed. SIMULATED RESEARCH · BOOK FACT · NOT A TICKET.
The rules do not move after the trade
If we change one, we date it. We do not backfill.
01
Rank
Leadership is the Friday map. We rank the 11 SPDR sectors after Friday’s close.
02
Location
Location can still skip a high score. A strong rank that fails location is not a ticket.
03
Structure
Defined-risk: long options (the debit is the max risk) and debit/credit spreads. Skip is first-class. No naked shorts. No 0DTE thesis.
04
Exit
Exits are dated on the card. We do not rewrite them after the ticket is live.
What would kill this. If eight weeks of paper cannot beat a coin flip after costs, the process is wrong, and we will say so. No P&L is claimed because none has been taken.
What this is
- A weekly 11-sector map and a short paper blotter.
- A free monthly defined-risk list. Email is the product door.
- Simulated. Dated. Skip is a first-class state.
What this is not
- A guru room, a webinar funnel, or a get-rich system.
- A claim that 0DTE controls the market.
- A signal service that changes the rules after a losing week.
SECTOR SELECTOR / A COSANALYST RESEARCH PROJECT
KNOW WHERE THE MONEY IS MOVING
#1 Energy / XLE 100/100. Founding 1,000 keep the weekly list free.
UNLOCK THIS MONTH'S PLAN →VIEW THE SECTOR MAP → RANKINGS ARCHIVE → READ THE RESEARCH → VIEW TRACK RECORD → LEARN THE FRAMEWORK →